October 9, 2009
I think that Bosnia and Herzegovina will be a hot potato to Mr. Carl Bildt, and not only for him, at it has been in the early nineties.
I have a question: when will former Yugoslavia stop to disintegrate? After all, all of its components want to join the EU, where we live without internal borders. All these small nations struggle to secure borders, which should become to a large extend irrelevant. It’s surreal.
There is another aspect of this disintegration which I find unfair to the rest of the Union. If Yugoslavia had joined as one country, it would had obtained 14 votes for qualified majority vote in the Council, and 33 MEPs. Now, with the present state of disintegration, the residual countries would obtain 40 votes and 63 MEPs.
I will explain.
Slovenia, already in EU, has 2 million people, 4 QM votes and 7 MEPs;
For the rest, comparing the possible allocation with present EU members of similar size, this is what we have:
Serbia, with 7.5 million, would have 10 QM votes and 17 MEPs;
Kosovo, with 2 million, would have 4 QM votes and 7 MEPs;
Croatia, with 4.5 million, would have 7 QM votes and 12 MEPs;
Montenegro, with 0.6 million, would have 4 QM votes and 6 MEPs;
Bosnia and Herzegovina, if it does not furter disintegrate, with its 4 million, would have 7 QM votes and 7 MEPs.
The total is: 63 QM votes from residual Yugoslavia, and 63 MEPs.
If Yugoslavia had joined as one country, with its 22.6 million it would have obtained 14 QM votes and 33 MEPs.
Another thing is that if instead of self-destructing, Yugoslavia had concentrated on joining the EU, as one country, this could have happened already in 1995 together with Austria, Sweden and Finland…Georgi Gotev