November 18, 2011
Whether we like it or not, the EU is becoming a two speed union. Sarkozy says there is “too much integration” among the 27 and too little among the 17 eurozone members.
It may look like a forced marriage, but eurozone countries need to build a real union.
Britain for one is happy about the development and plans to repatriate powers from Brussels, and to become more influential via-a-vis the rest of the union. Cameron said he wanted to re-shape the Union as a network rather than a bloc.
With a budget prey to austerity, it wouldn’t be a surprise if the EU would become a much loser union than it is today.
Logically, big decisions would be taken in the eurozone, while the EU would rather be a discussion club.
Does this mean that the EU would become more likely to open to Turkey? Britain for one would be favourable, as it has no doubts about the geopolitical advantages of such option. Maybe France and Germany will be less opposed in the near future.
This doesn’t mean however that Turkey wouldn’t need to make deep transformations and recognise Cyprus. But let’s assume that for the sake of EU membership Turkey would take those steps.
Then it’s hard to imagine that Turkey would be denied EU membership. For those for whom the arrival of a large Muslim country would be too bitter to swallow, maybe Turkey’s membership would be made to coincide with Christian Ukraine joining as well.
What looked absurd yesterday is not impossible today. As they say, crises always offer opportunities.Georgi Gotev